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Ninetieth Annual Report |
May 15, 2007 |
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Statistics constitute the foundation of the workers compensation insurance
pricing system.
They are
necessary in the continuous work of maintaining rates and rating plans
on a current basis.
They are
also important for research and the formulation of new concepts.
There is constant review of procedures with the objective of producing,
on a timely basis and as cost effective as possible, useful statistics
as well as appropriate premium rates.
Exhibits and Tables of statistical information are included in this
report to assist those engaged in the business of workers compensation
insurance in the State of New Jersey
.
The
reporting of individual policy experience through the Statistical Plan
forms the basis of policy year experience (Schedule "Z").
After checking and processing, these detailed reports are used
for various analyses, experience and retrospective ratings as well as
for classification pure premiums relativities.
For each policy, these reports include the audited payrolls,
premium rates charged, experience modification (if any) and all items
affecting the cost of the coverage.
Each compensable accident is separately listed with the amount of
incurred indemnity and medical losses.
Medical only cases costing less than $500 are aggregated to a
total amount by classification.
Other medical only cases are listed separately.
Each report is valued by the carrier, as of the eighteenth month
after the month in which the policy became effective and is filed with
the Rating Bureau approximately twenty and one-half months after the
inception month of the policy.
Tables VII through X flow from these data.
Calendar year Schedule "W" data, Exhibits A and B in the appendix, show
the developments which occurred during 2006 with respect to both
premiums and losses under all policies which have been effective since
January 1, 1942. These
Exhibits illustrate the reason for retaining a long period of years in
the Schedule "W" report.
The
data show there is significant claim activity indicating that ultimate
payments may be more or less than originally estimated.
Exhibits C and D in the appendix also flow from the Schedule "W"
data.
Statistics are not meaningful unless they have been subjected to quality
analyses. Such quality as
respects the data filed through the Statistical Plan is in large measure
dependent on whether payrolls have been audited properly and claims have
been assigned to the proper classifications.
In this regard, an extensive test payroll audit program, and data
quality process directed toward the classification of claims are in
place. Schedule "W" data can
be filed electronically at the Rating Bureau Web Site (njcrib.com) using
the Financial Data Reporting Application (FDRA).
FDRA subjects data to an extensive series of edits to assure the
reasonableness of the data.
As a result of these ongoing quality control programs it is possible to
have confidence in the reliability of the data used in the pricing of
the insurance.
The
Rating Bureau Web-Site also contains actuarial information, which is
updated annually. The latest
paid and incurred policy and accident year loss development factors on
an aggregate basis as well as data concerning the latest trend factor
are some of the information available at the site.
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STATISTICAL
Reports of policy year experience are received on a routine scheduled
basis related to the policy effective date.
After the first report is filed, four subsequent reports are
required at annual intervals.
These reports are necessary to establish and maintain appropriate
classification pure premiums and in the calculation of individual risk
ratings.
Approximately 99.3%
are received via the NJCRIB – FTF electronic transmission method, 0.5%
are received via magnetic tape and 0.2% are received in paper format.

The
number of first reports received decreased
from 221,098 for calendar year 2005 to
213,335 in calendar year 2006.
The number of subsequent reports
received decreased from 35,694 in calendar
year 2005 to 33,680 in calendar year 2006.
The number of correction reports
received decreased from 41,693 in calendar
year 2005 to 38,898 in calendar year 2006.
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TABLE VII
Historical Record Of New Jersey Workers
Compensation Insurance
Policy Year Experience - Schedule "Z"
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Policy
Year
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Payrolls
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Earned
Standard
Premium
|
Benefits
(Incurred
Losses)
|
Loss
Ratio
%
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1917
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thru
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1960
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102,870,283,337
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1,499,740,150
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850,987,819
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56.74
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1961
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7,761,684,882
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115,757,382
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64,661,780
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55.86
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1962
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8,243,827,700
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127,920,705
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71,553,722
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55.94
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1963
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8,710,394,846
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135,156,401
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75,719,217
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56.02
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1964
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9,401,617,939
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143,400,036
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82,174,557
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57.30
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1965
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10,227,029,873
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154,541,867
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88,912,406
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57.53
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1966
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11,095,302,546
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175,960,004
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100,066,564
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56.87
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1967
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12,064,028,385
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216,412,747
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124,968,868
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57.75
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1968
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13,041,009,169
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244,453,296
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136,710,750
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55.93 |
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1969 |
14,359,295,241 |
269,152,306 |
146,152,948 |
54.30 |
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1970 |
15,505,945,738 |
279,521,408 |
154,399,390 |
55.24 |
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1971 |
16,567,193,740 |
292,022,218 |
165,021,354 |
56.51 |
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1972 |
18,159,136,673 |
325,648,401 |
190,081,640 |
58.37 |
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1973 |
19,438,340,466 |
349,400,396 |
218,316,790 |
62.48 |
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1974 |
20,604,436,767 |
352,158,561 |
235,838,780 |
66.97 |
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1975 |
21,667,396,678 |
360,418,423 |
252,638,790 |
70.10 |
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1976 |
23,397,036,246 |
412,598,232 |
266,307,728 |
64.54 |
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1977 |
25,744,549,233 |
500,291,693 |
288,710,021 |
57.71 |
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1978 |
28,303,648,446 |
590,066,853 |
294,332,539 |
49.88 |
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1979 |
30,562,909,053 |
687,751,366 |
307,291,953 |
44.68 |
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1980 |
33,418,523,291 |
794,096,282 |
322,120,476 |
40.56 |
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1981 |
35,622,703,963 |
860,794,357 |
334,541,486 |
38.86 |
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1982 |
38,061,276,672 |
884,799,224 |
347,929,544 |
39.32 |
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1983 |
42,026,040,816 |
865,418,501 |
406,298,137 |
46.95 |
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1984 |
46,783,172,626 |
878,439,267 |
464,541,392 |
52.88 |
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1985 |
51,474,675,840 |
834,609,822 |
516,628,882 |
61.90 |
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1986 |
55,801,445,075 |
892,564,167 |
593,008,576 |
66.44 |
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1987 |
61,081,724,912 |
1,049,255,787 |
693,429,183 |
66.09 |
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1988 |
64,812,682,582 |
1,162,668,484 |
763,295,250 |
65.65 |
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1989 |
67,852,361,291 |
1,071,937,741 |
853,526,272 |
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