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Ninetieth Annual Report May 15, 2007
 
  ACTUARIAL DIVISION
 
  Statistics constitute the foundation of the workers compensation insurance pricing system.  They are necessary in the continuous work of maintaining rates and rating plans on a current basis.  They are also important for research and the formulation of new concepts.

There is constant review of procedures with the objective of producing, on a timely basis and as cost effective as possible, useful statistics as well as appropriate premium rates.
  Exhibits and Tables of statistical information are included in this report to assist those engaged in the business of workers compensation insurance in the State of New Jersey .

The reporting of individual policy experience through the Statistical Plan forms the basis of policy year experience (Schedule "Z").  After checking and processing, these detailed reports are used for various analyses, experience and retrospective ratings as well as for classification pure premiums relativities.  For each policy, these reports include the audited payrolls, premium rates charged, experience modification (if any) and all items affecting the cost of the coverage.  Each compensable accident is separately listed with the amount of incurred indemnity and medical losses.  Medical only cases costing less than $500 are aggregated to a total amount by classification.  Other medical only cases are listed separately.  Each report is valued by the carrier, as of the eighteenth month after the month in which the policy became effective and is filed with the Rating Bureau approximately twenty and one-half months after the inception month of the policy.  Tables VII through X flow from these data.

Calendar year Schedule "W" data, Exhibits A and B in the appendix, show the developments which occurred during 2006 with respect to both premiums and losses under all policies which have been effective since January 1, 1942.  These Exhibits illustrate the reason for retaining a long period of years in the Schedule "W" report.  The data show there is significant claim activity indicating that ultimate payments may be more or less than originally estimated.  Exhibits C and D in the appendix also flow from the Schedule "W" data. 

Statistics are not meaningful unless they have been subjected to quality analyses.  Such quality as respects the data filed through the Statistical Plan is in large measure dependent on whether payrolls have been audited properly and claims have been assigned to the proper classifications.  In this regard, an extensive test payroll audit program, and data quality process directed toward the classification of claims are in place.  Schedule "W" data can be filed electronically at the Rating Bureau Web Site (njcrib.com) using the Financial Data Reporting Application (FDRA).  FDRA subjects data to an extensive series of edits to assure the reasonableness of the data.  As a result of these ongoing quality control programs it is possible to have confidence in the reliability of the data used in the pricing of the insurance.

The Rating Bureau Web-Site also contains actuarial information, which is updated annually.  The latest paid and incurred policy and accident year loss development factors on an aggregate basis as well as data concerning the latest trend factor are some of the information available at the site.

 

 

STATISTICAL

Reports of policy year experience are received on a routine scheduled basis related to the policy effective date.  After the first report is filed, four subsequent reports are required at annual intervals.  These reports are necessary to establish and maintain appropriate classification pure premiums and in the calculation of individual risk ratings.  Approximately 99.3% are received via the NJCRIB – FTF electronic transmission method, 0.5% are received via magnetic tape and 0.2% are received in paper format.



The number of first reports received decreased from 221,098 for calendar year 2005 to 213,335 in calendar year 2006.  The number of subsequent reports received decreased from 35,694 in calendar year 2005 to 33,680 in calendar year 2006.  The number of correction reports received decreased from 41,693 in calendar year 2005 to 38,898 in calendar year 2006.

TABLE VII

Historical Record Of New Jersey Workers Compensation Insurance
Policy Year Experience - Schedule "Z"

Policy
Year

              

Payrolls

Earned
Standard
Premium

Benefits
(Incurred
Losses)

Loss
Ratio
%

1917

 

 

 

 

thru

 

 

 

 

1960

102,870,283,337

1,499,740,150

850,987,819

              56.74

1961

7,761,684,882

115,757,382

64,661,780

              55.86

1962

8,243,827,700

127,920,705

71,553,722

              55.94

1963

8,710,394,846

135,156,401

75,719,217

              56.02

1964

9,401,617,939

143,400,036

82,174,557

              57.30

1965

10,227,029,873

154,541,867

88,912,406

              57.53

1966

11,095,302,546

175,960,004

100,066,564

              56.87

1967

12,064,028,385

216,412,747

124,968,868

              57.75

1968

13,041,009,169

244,453,296

136,710,750

              55.93

1969

14,359,295,241

269,152,306

146,152,948

              54.30

1970

15,505,945,738

279,521,408

154,399,390

              55.24

1971

16,567,193,740

292,022,218

165,021,354

              56.51

1972

18,159,136,673

325,648,401

190,081,640

              58.37

1973

19,438,340,466

349,400,396

218,316,790

              62.48

1974

20,604,436,767

352,158,561

235,838,780

              66.97

 

 

 

 

 

1975

21,667,396,678

360,418,423

252,638,790

              70.10

1976

23,397,036,246

412,598,232

266,307,728

               64.54

1977

25,744,549,233

500,291,693

288,710,021

               57.71

1978

28,303,648,446

590,066,853

294,332,539

               49.88

1979

30,562,909,053

687,751,366

307,291,953

               44.68

1980

33,418,523,291

794,096,282

322,120,476

               40.56

1981

35,622,703,963

860,794,357

334,541,486

               38.86

1982

38,061,276,672

884,799,224

347,929,544

               39.32

1983

42,026,040,816

865,418,501

406,298,137

               46.95

1984

46,783,172,626

878,439,267

464,541,392

               52.88

1985

51,474,675,840

834,609,822

516,628,882

               61.90

1986

55,801,445,075

892,564,167

593,008,576

               66.44

1987

61,081,724,912

1,049,255,787

693,429,183

               66.09

1988

64,812,682,582

1,162,668,484

763,295,250

               65.65

1989

67,852,361,291

1,071,937,741

853,526,272